บท 1429: Chapter 1429: The enemy surfaces
Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. is one of the HSI constituent stocks and is also one of the stocks with a leading market capitalization. How can it be so easy to short it?
Moreover, Liu Tianci is also well aware that the real estate market in Xiangjiang now mainly depends on the commercial real estate market to contribute profits, and the scale of residential real estate does not have much profit margin.
Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. is the leader in the commercial real estate market in Xiangjiang. Its revenue has been steadily increasing, and it has the backing of a consortium of banks, so it has no worries at all. Even if there are problems, they won't be able to happen in the short term.
On the premise of ensuring revenue and profits, shorting it can only result in a decline in Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd.'s price-to-earnings ratio.
With the halo of being the industry leader, if the price-to-earnings ratio still declines, then the entire real estate industry in Xiangjiang will not be able to escape, and they will all have to fall.
In that case, the entire Hong Kong stock market would be impacted!
In Liu Tianci's opinion, it is possible for the stock price of Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. to fluctuate as long as the Hong Kong stock market does not plummet.
But a sharp decline?
As the chairman of the board of directors of the United Stock Exchange and the right-hand man of Xia Yu, Liu Tianci can responsibly say:
No way!
Under normal business logic, this kind of thing cannot happen. If not a conspiracy, then what else could it be?
Liu Tianci immediately decided that he must report this matter to Chairman Xia Yu. As the chairman, he would surely be able to make the most correct judgment.
However, before reporting, he still needed to do some preparatory work.
He immediately ordered the subsidiary banks owned by Jiuding Bank to sort out the information and compile a full statistics of the stock lending business over the past year.
At the same time, he also ordered the Hong Kong United Exchange to compile some information and have the staff analyze the data according to his requirements.
That afternoon, all the materials were compiled, and after reading them, he confirmed his suspicions and immediately went to Xia Yu's office.
'Chairman, I have something special to report to you.'
As soon as he entered the room, Liu Tianci, carrying a briefcase, told Xia Yu the reason for his visit.
His serious expression made Xia Yu pay immediate attention.
'Tianci, sit down and take your time.'
'Thank you, Chairman.'
After sitting down, Liu Tianzhi immediately opened his briefcase and took out the collated information, placing it on the desktop.
Then he began to speak: 'Chairman, this morning, I went to inspect the securities investment department of the bank and discovered an anomaly. The business of recent arbitrage with our bank has doubled.'
'Among them, there is also an application for business from the British S.G. Huabao Company, which wants to borrow the 4.72% stake in Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. held by the bank. Since the value exceeds 2 billion Hong Kong dollars, it has been stuck and not approved.'
'Then I asked the banks under my subordinates to sort out all the business of this year's bets, and also asked the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to sort out the transaction data of recent months.'
'The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has been developing better and better over the past few years, and all data has been on the rise in recent months. According to normal analysis, the situation seems to be relatively normal, but when combined with the situation of the banks, it doesn't seem right.'
'I suspect that someone with power is planning to short Hong Kong stocks on a large scale!'
After listening to Liu Tianci's account, Xia Yu's mind subconsciously brought up the name of the Rothschild family.
The Rothschild family had just met with Li Ka-shing, either for the purpose of doing business in Hong Kong or to deal with him.
Now, according to Liu Tianci's discovery, there is also capital that intends to do him harm.
The purposes of these two events overlap!
Moreover, there is another important reason that made him subconsciously make this judgment.
That is the S·G·Huabao company mentioned by Liu Tianci, which was preparing to short the stock of Jiuding Real Estate Development Co., Ltd.!
S·G·华宝公司在后世被瑞银集团收购,后世以瑞银华宝的名义在世界上叱咤风云.
而现在,S·G·华宝公司依旧在沃伯格家族手中.
发迹于德国汉堡的沃伯格家族,是'犹太皇族'之一.
沃伯格家族之所以能够崛起,离不开洛希尔家族的帮助.
At the beginning of the 19th century, the Rothschilds had already established a huge financial network across Europe, while the Warburgs were just a small player in the Hamburg area of Germany.
However, in 1865, the Warburgs finally obtained the exclusive general agency rights of the Rothschilds in the Hamburg area of Germany, and later became the Rothschilds' main partner in issuing international bonds in the Hamburg area.
During the Franco-Prussian War, the Warburg family used the Rothschild family's network to participate in loans to France and help France pay its war reparations to Germany, thereby reaping huge profits.
From then on, the Warburg family entered the fast lane of its rise, using wars and Germany's infrastructure to become a financial giant in Germany and even Europe.
The Warburg family played an even greater role in its actions against the United States.
Paul Warburg of the Warburg family was not only a senior partner of the Kuhn, Loeb & Company financial group, but also the first director and second vice-chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, and was known as the 'chief architect of the Federal Reserve'.
At that time, the Rothschild family's plan to establish a private central bank in the United States had never been successful, but Paul Warburg cooperated with the Rothschild family and took on the main task, which was successfully completed in one fell swoop!
On the European continent, both the Rothschild and Warburg families belonged to the European Strategic Alliance, with the Rothschild family as the leader.
However, compared to the Rothschilds, the Warburgs, who are also Jewish, are more low-key and have had a more miserable life.
Since the Warburgs have been active in Germany since the 16th century and have always regarded Germany as their base, even after joining forces with the Rothschilds to enter the United States at the beginning of the 20th century, they still regarded Germany as their base. As a result, they encountered Hitler, and the main line was almost completely wiped out.
Unlike the Rothschilds, who have a global presence and whose main branch is in the UK, the Rothschilds have retained much of their strength despite the efforts of the moustache to purge them.
The Warburgs, on the other hand, suffered heavy losses and eventually transferred what was left of their strength to the UK, where they regained their footing and continued to restore their strength with the help of the Rothschilds.
It can be said that the Rothschilds and Warburgs are like brothers in difficulty, supporting each other and being the hardcore of the hardcore.
The Warburg family's S.G. Warburg & Co. has been short selling Hong Kong stocks on a large scale. Xia Yu doesn't believe that it is not the Rothschild family behind the operation!
Afterwards, Xia Yu sipped tea while going through the materials collected by Liu Tianci, which indeed confirmed his suspicions.
Just Jiuding Bank and the banks it holds shares in.
Last month, there were 16 stock lending and borrowing transactions, involving a total of HK$5.124 billion in stock value.
Last month, there were 33 stock lending and borrowing transactions, involving a total stock value of 14.218 billion Hong Kong dollars.
The stock lending and borrowing transactions involved S.G. Warburg, Cerberus Capital Management, British Golden Forest Asset Management, and many other companies, most of which are from Europe!
In terms of stock market transactions:
Last month, the average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong stock market was 7.325 billion Hong Kong dollars.
However, last month, the average daily trading volume of the Hong Kong stock market reached 8.449 billion Hong Kong dollars, an increase of 15.34%!
And as can be seen from the trading volume chart for last month, the growth rate was very fast, with five of the working days seeing trading volumes exceeding the 10 billion Hong Kong dollar mark!
This trend is also considered to be outstanding when placed in the context of the whole year, but it is only a good thing for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
After all, every transaction is subject to tax, which generates revenue for the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
However, when combined with the short selling situation, the reason for the sharp increase in trading volume becomes clear.
Short sellers borrow stocks, cash out and leave the market, which is what has pushed up stock market trading volume.
Last month's trading volume was more than 25 billion Hong Kong dollars higher than the previous month, but the value of stocks borrowed by Jinding Bank and its holding banks last month was only 14.218 billion Hong Kong dollars, which is a difference of 10 billion Hong Kong dollars.
So the short sellers must have borrowed more than 10 billion Hong Kong dollars worth of stocks from other institutions and successfully sold them.
Considering that the short seller still has unsold stocks in hand, and there are hundreds of financial institutions in Hong Kong, the short seller did not only target his financial institution to borrow stocks.
So how big is the short seller's short position? It is simply impossible to calculate!
It is definitely more than 100 billion Hong Kong dollars!
Is it 200 billion Hong Kong dollars?
Or even more?
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