บท 133: Mediocre Civilization
In the early morning of the next day, Zhang Yuan started his normal work day with dark circles under his eyes. 35xs In any case, the earth civilization is in full swing, and life must continue.
"Why, did you suffer from insomnia yesterday? You stayed up all night and finished watching."
"Yes, brother, you won." Zhang Yuan smiled.
"It has nothing to do with me... the history of new civilizations won."
Maybe it's because the distance from the earth is too far at this moment; The mood is not so low, it is equivalent to watching an unusually jerky movie.
It's just that the click rate of related papers on the history of new civilization has increased by more than a thousand times in the past few hundred years, including Zhang Yuan's new paper, which also has many comments!
Regardless of whether they can understand or not, people are trying to find a way to crack it from this new discipline.
It's a pity that the New Civilization Historiography is nothing more than a complex network model so far, and all kinds of calculations are so abstract that ordinary people can't understand it at all, and they are just watching the fun.
Only Zhang Yuan, who is proficient in mathematics, has a certain right to speak.
In particular, converting a historical node into a series of chaotic functions involves many complex calculations. Some things, after calculating a number, even Zhang Yuan himself can't figure out what the number means.
"Now that we have the historical reference data of earth civilization, we can continue to improve this subject. 35xs is just that the sample data is not enough... It's only five or six hundred years." Zhang Yuan carefully read the current research progress.
He suddenly said: "I think that the earth's civilization has not reached the worst situation, and it is still possible to break free from the trough." "Yes!" Brother Zhao
said: "It's just a cold war, and there is a small probability of jumping out of the trough. But the higher probability becomes worse. Regardless of calculations, from a political point of view, do you think there is any way to get the entire civilization out of the current predicament."
According to old historical experience, this cold war will continue forever, similar to the US-Soviet struggle for hegemony, until the economy of one side completely collapses and one side cannibalize the other.
Of course, it is also possible that before the collapse, a certain party put all their eggs in one basket and broke out the first interstellar war of human civilization, causing huge damage.
"...It's hard to pick out this trough based on internal factors alone." Zhang Yuan pondered for a while, and said, "We need the help of aliens now! The appearance of aliens is likely to reverse the trend. Key event. But the probability of such an event is too low."
Brother Zhao couldn't help laughing: "How do you know that the arrival of aliens is a positive event? If you encounter a strong enemy that is difficult to resist, as long as you have a chance to survive There is a high probability that the high-level human beings will surrender directly. It is better to live than to die. How can ants challenge elephants?" "
Only an enemy that is evenly matched can unite the civilization of the earth. The probability of 35xs is really very small..." "
Said It's true."
Brother Zhao made a not-so-funny joke: "Maybe, when we become stronger, we can return to this alien."
"This joke is not funny at all. Do we still need to go back?"
After discussing this, Zhang Yuan frowned.
Even if there is a lot of history to learn from, can the new civilization do better than the earth civilization?
Not necessarily.
Reality is always crueler than imagined.
When the ambitious interstellar pioneers of their generation are all dead, what will happen to the following generations?
No one can predict.
Human beings have their own bad roots, and their descendants may not necessarily do better than the earth's civilization.
The wheel of history, the later, the more it is not a single great man who can change. How easy is it to change?
...
Life in the spaceship is quite boring, nothing more than three key words: study, entertainment, and rest. Research on the historiography of new civilizations has been ongoing, and how to translate samples into data is a key difficulty.
On this day, Zhang Yuan came to Xingchen Library alone, looking into the distance through a layer of glass.
He really likes to think quietly in this small place.
Because of the cloud of war on Earth, the economic recession, and the reduction in expenditure, the information sent by the Deep Space Foundation has been reduced from once a month to once a year.
If the funds are insufficient, it will continue to shrink in the future...
This is very bad news.
"Hey, if only I kept that stock until now."
Zhang Yuan was a little annoyed, but quickly gave up this idea. Maybe that stock is worthless until now, and the company has gone bankrupt.
He began to try to change some key historical nodes in the model to change the current final outcome.
Assuming that a certain key history did not happen, will the current ending change?
Unfortunately, this cannot be assumed.
Key historical nodes are derived from a large amount of history ahead. If you want to modify these key historical nodes, all the history ahead needs to be modified, so that the entire network can be harmonious and match.
And after modifying a large amount of history ahead, it is necessary to modify the history further ahead, until the final origin.
The result is that every point in the entire network system needs to be modified in order to change the final outcome.
The complex deduction of such a chaotic system is beyond Zhang Yuan's current level.
"Take a hair and move the whole body!"
The most important thing is that according to the mathematical model of the new civilization historiography, there is definitely more than one insurmountable trough that a civilization will eventually reach.
There are more, more troughs ahead, and more insurmountable problems.
In other words, under the dim starry sky, "mediocrity" is the most eternal truth.
The stars in the sky are twinkling, how many civilizations are hidden inside? How many civilizations are facing a mediocre ending similar to the earth?
Even though the civilization of the earth has not reached the final end point, it is already close to the end point...
There are thousands of roads, only one is the real broad road, and the remaining nine thousand nine hundred and ninety-nine roads are all dead ends.
It's a pity that this broad avenue is hidden in countless dead ends, and it may not be so easy to find it.
It even pretends to be a rough path.
During the growth of a civilization, it is bound to be accompanied by countless amazing and brilliant heroes, but these great men can still only delay the progress of civilization towards mediocrity. Because they have gone the wrong way from the beginning.
At this moment, Zhang Yuan strengthened his determination of "everything is subject to calculation". There are too few things that can be seen by relying on human wisdom alone. Even if the calculation is just a number, that kind of concise objectivity is far beyond human wisdom.
...
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